{ "schema_version": "1.1", "schema_note": "1.1 (2026-09-16) renames keys that carried retired vocabulary. Values, precision and structure are those of 1.0. renamed_from lists each new key against the name it replaced.", "renamed_from": { "level_axis": "tier_axis", "level_scale": "tier_scale", "level_labels": "tier_labels", "level_label_and_continuous_value": "tier_level_and_tier_continuous", "level_source": "tier_source", "level_type": "tier_type", "api_name": "tier_name", "toward_level1_by_hydroclimate": "toward_tier1_by_hydroclimate", "toward_level4_by_hydroclimate": "toward_tier4_by_hydroclimate", "level_band": "tier_band", "baseline_level": "today_level", "baseline": "today", "y_baseline": "y_today", "current_operations": "climate_baseline", "y_current_operations": "y_climate_baseline", "hydroclimate_effect": "climate_effect", "management_effect": "operations_effect", "hydroclimate_flat": "climate_flat", "management_flat": "operations_flat", "management_effect_min_exact": "operations_effect_min_exact", "management_effect_max_exact": "operations_effect_max_exact", "management_effect_sign": "strategy_effect_sign", "current_operations_spread": "ops_spread", "current_operations_worst_value": "ops_worst_value", "current_operations_worst_hydroclimates": "ops_worst_hydroclimates", "key_outcome_code": "outcome_area_code", "key_outcome_name": "outcome_area_name", "key_outcome_name_lower": "outcome_area_name_lower", "companion_key_outcome_name": "companion_area_name", "companion_key_outcome_name_lower": "companion_area_name_lower", "this_key_outcome_name": "this_area_name", "key_outcome": "outcome_area", "runs_missing_key_outcome": "runs_missing_tier" }, "brief": { "id": "results-delta-conveyance-project", "kind": "strategy-results", "version": "v0_3", "status": "prototype", "title": "Delta Conveyance Project: modeled outcome levels across eight key outcomes and five hydroclimates", "html_file": "scenario_results_brief_delta-conveyance-project_prototype_v0_3.html", "data_file": "scenario_results_brief_delta-conveyance-project_schema1.json", "site_path": "/summaries/delta-conveyance-project", "supersedes": null }, "built": { "at": "2026-09-25T20:58:29Z", "builder_version": "0.1.0", "design_reference": null }, "subject": { "kind": "strategy", "id": "delta-conveyance-project", "name": "Delta Conveyance Project", "pid": "7.4", "sibling_group": "s0065", "is_reference": false, "baseline_public_name": "Current operations" }, "provenance": { "snapshot": "2026-08-29", "api": "api.coeqwal.org v2.1.1 (locked dataset snapshot)" }, "how_to_read": { "title": "How to read these numbers", "level_scale": "The level scale runs from 1 to 4.99. Level 1 is the favorable end of the scale: the outcome-level framework names Level 1 Optimal and Level 4 Critical, so a smaller value sits nearer Optimal and a larger value nearer Critical. The API serves this number in a field named weighted_score; that name describes how the number is computed, and does not mean that a larger number is a more favorable result.", "level_label_and_continuous_value": "Two numbers describe each result. The integer tier_level is the level label. tier_continuous is the position within the band of that label, and always falls inside it: tier_continuous is at least tier_level and less than tier_level plus one. Labels, counts and prose use tier_level; figure positions and statistics use tier_continuous.", "level_labels": "Level 1 is Optimal, Level 2 is Acceptable, Level 3 is At-risk, and Level 4 is Critical. These are definitional category names supplied by the outcome-level framework; what a category means for any reader, community, or decision is not specified by COEQWAL.", "area_values": "A key outcome value is the unweighted mean over the locations in that key outcome. Every location counts equally, regardless of the people, acres, or acre-feet it represents.", "comparisons": "Any difference between two values under different hydroclimates contains both a hydroclimate effect and a management effect; the two are separable only through the decomposition, because each is defined against its own reference. A strategy is compared with current operations under the same hydroclimate. Comparing one strategy with itself across hydroclimates is a different quantity: the hydroclimate effect plus the change in the management effect. The hydroclimate effect is always measured on current operations, not on the strategy.", "movement_threshold": "One threshold governs every claim and every count here. A difference smaller than 0.1 on the level scale is not reported as movement, and a location is not counted as differing from its comparison. An outcome level is a summary built so that results in nine key outcomes with no shared unit can be compared, and 0.1 on the level scale is the finest reading it carries; a smaller difference is left unstated rather than described.", "hydroclimates": "The five hydroclimates were chosen to span a range of climate stress levels. They are not a sequence, a trend, or a forecast, they carry no probabilities, and no mean is taken over them.", "run_ids": "A run ID identifies one modeling run of one strategy under one hydroclimate. It is an internal identifier, used for citation and for tracing a value back to the data platform, not a name for the strategy; the public identity of a strategy is its descriptive name." }, "methods": { "area_value": "A sector value is the unweighted mean of the continuous level values at its locations, computed by COEQWAL from the snapshot's per-location data and never read from a served aggregate. Every location counts equally, regardless of the people, acres or acre-feet it represents.", "level_source": "Two per-location fields. The integer tier_level is the level label and drives labels, counts and prose claims; the continuous tier_continuous drives figure positions and statistics. A continuous value sits inside its label's band: tier_level <= value < tier_level + 1.", "band_derivation": "The level label of a value is floor(value), clamped to 1..4. Applied to locations and to sector means alike. A sector mean COEQWAL computes carries no served level, so no rule that defers to the API's tier_level can be applied uniformly.", "printed_precision": "Level values print floored to one decimal, never rounded, so a printed value stays inside the band its label names and 5.0 is unreachable by construction. Each printed effect is the difference between floored values, never the floored difference, except that an effect smaller than the movement threshold prints as 0.0 — so a cell carrying one does not add up. The values stored here are exact and unrounded.", "location_set": "When a location is served on one side of a comparison and not the other it is dropped from both. The mean, its anchor and the reach count are all taken over the locations every run of the comparison serves.", "thresholds": "One threshold does every job. A difference smaller than 0.1 on the level scale is not reported as movement, is not counted as a location differing from its comparison, and prints as 0.0 rather than as a display step. A tier is a COEQWAL construction and 0.1 on the level scale is the finest reading it is assigned; a smaller difference is left unstated.", "hydroclimate_matching": "Hydroclimates are matched by editorial code (BL/HC1/...), never by the API's numeric hydroclimate_id.", "no_mean_over_hydroclimates": "The five hydroclimates were chosen to span a range of climate stress levels, not drawn from a population of futures. Spread and worst sampled case are reported; no mean over them is.", "row_order": "Rows on the sector axis run in the editorial order of config.SECTORS. Rows on the strategy axis put the reference strategy first and the remainder alphabetically by public name.", "stage": { "values": "populated by the generator. Every number this brief prints in prose is here, with its derivation and the sources it resolves to, recorded at the point the prose formats it rather than assembled afterwards — a list assembled afterwards is a second implementation of the prose and the two drift. Numbers in the table and the figure are not repeated here: a table cell resolves to rows[]/by_hydroclimate, and a figure mark to figures[0]/data.", "figures": "populated by the generator, including the declared attribute contract at figures[].attributes. The contract names, per mark type, the attributes that mark emits, and the sets are checked disjoint at build time — so counting an attribute finds the marks of one type and no others.", "verification": "filled by running briefbuilder.verifier over this file and the page beside it after both were written. Not stamped by the generator." }, "decomposition_definition": "For a row under hydroclimate H: hydroclimate_effect = current operations under H minus current operations under BL, and management_effect = this brief's subject under H minus current operations under H — hydroclimate-matched, which is the only comparison that isolates a strategy from the weather it runs in. The two sum to the difference from the baseline. Positive effects mean movement toward higher level values, which is toward Level 4." }, "level_axis": { "domain": [1.0, 4.99], "band_rule": "floor(value)", "reference": "Ordinal_vs_continuous_tiers.md" }, "level_scale": { "1": "Optimal", "2": "Acceptable", "3": "At-risk", "4": "Critical" }, "decomposition": { "identity": "baseline + hydroclimate_effect + management_effect = scenario", "movement_threshold": 0.1, "printed_effect": "the difference of the printed values, except that an effect smaller than 0.1 on the level scale prints as 0.0. The identity above holds of the stored values in every cell; of the printed values it holds in every cell where no effect is suppressed", "reference": "coeqwal-viz/operations-vs-climate/Decomposition_Math_Quickref" }, "anchor": { "primary_reference": "current operations under the historical hydroclimate (the baseline)", "run_id": "s0020", "decided": "2026-07-25", "note": "the management effect remains hydroclimate-matched: this brief's subject minus current operations under the same hydroclimate" }, "scenario_context": { "hydroclimates": [ { "hydroclimate_id": 2, "code": "BL", "label": "Historical hydroclimate", "column_label": "Historical", "anchor": "historical-hydroclimate" }, { "hydroclimate_id": 7, "code": "HC4", "label": "Moderate climate stress", "column_label": "Moderate", "anchor": "moderate-climate-stress" }, { "hydroclimate_id": 3, "code": "HC1", "label": "Moderate-high climate stress", "column_label": "Moderate-high", "anchor": "moderate-high-climate-stress" }, { "hydroclimate_id": 4, "code": "HC2", "label": "High climate stress", "column_label": "High", "anchor": "high-climate-stress" }, { "hydroclimate_id": 5, "code": "HC3", "label": "Extreme climate stress", "column_label": "Extreme", "anchor": "extreme-climate-stress" } ], "baseline_strategy": "s0020", "n_scenarios": 10, "n_strategies": 2, "scenarios": [ { "short_code": "s0020", "sibling_group": "s0020", "hydroclimate": "BL", "name": "Current operations", "run_name": "s0020_DCRadjBL_2020LU_wTUCP" }, { "short_code": "s0047", "sibling_group": "s0020", "hydroclimate": "HC1", "name": "Current operations", "run_name": "s0047_DCRcc50_2020LU_wTUCP" }, { "short_code": "s0056", "sibling_group": "s0020", "hydroclimate": "HC2", "name": "Current operations", "run_name": "s0056_DCRcc95_2020LU_wTUCP" }, { "short_code": "s0065", "sibling_group": "s0065", "hydroclimate": "BL", "name": "Delta Conveyance Project", "run_name": "s0065_DWRadapt25_2020LU_DCP" }, { "short_code": "s0085", "sibling_group": "s0065", "hydroclimate": "HC1", "name": "Delta Conveyance Project", "run_name": "s0085_DWRadapt25_cc50_2020LU_DCP" }, { "short_code": "s0105", "sibling_group": "s0065", "hydroclimate": "HC2", "name": "Delta Conveyance Project", "run_name": "s0105_DWRadapt25_cc95_2020LU_DCP" }, { "short_code": "s0108", "sibling_group": "s0020", "hydroclimate": "HC3", "name": "Current operations", "run_name": "s0108_DCRbl_cqlTAI_2020LU_wTUCP" }, { "short_code": "s0131", "sibling_group": "s0065", "hydroclimate": "HC3", "name": "Delta Conveyance Project", "run_name": "s0131_DWRadapt25_cqlTAI_2020LU_DCP" }, { "short_code": "s0134", "sibling_group": "s0020", "hydroclimate": "HC4", "name": "Current operations", "run_name": "s0134_DCRbl_cqlECV_2020LU_wTUCP" }, { "short_code": "s0157", "sibling_group": "s0065", "hydroclimate": "HC4", "name": "Delta Conveyance Project", "run_name": "s0157_DWRadapt25_cqlECV_2020LU_DCP" } ], "run_names_source": "builder/reference/scenario_listing.json (team's Completed Scenario Listing, 2026-06-06)" }, "row_axis": "area", "rows": [ { "code": "CWS_DEL", "public_name": "Community surface water", "level_type": "multi_value", "locations": { "n": 73, "ids": [ "02_PU", "02_SU", "03_PU1", "03_PU2", "03_SU", "11_NU1", "12_NU1", "13_NU1", "16_PU", "20_NU1", "21_PU", "24_NU1", "24_NU2", "24_NU3", "25_PU", "26N_NU1", "26N_NU2", "26N_NU3", "26N_PU1", "26N_PU2", "26N_PU3", "26S_NU1", "26S_PU1", "26S_PU2", "26S_PU4", "26S_PU5", "26S_PU6", "50_PU", "60N_NU2", "60S_NU1", "61_NU2", "90_PU", "ACFC", "AMADR", "AMCYN", "ANTOC", "BNCIA", "CCWD", "CSB038", "CSB103", "CSPSO", "EBMUD", "ELDID_NU1", "ELDID_NU2", "ELDID_NU3", "ESB324", "ESB347", "ESB355", "ESB414", "ESB420", "FRFLD", "GDPUD_NU", "GRSVL", "JLIND", "MHILL_NU", "MWD", "NAPA", "NAPA2", "PCWA3", "PLMAS", "SBA029", "SBA036", "SBCWD", "SCVWD", "SUISN", "SVWRD", "TLMNE", "TVAFB", "UNION", "UPANG", "VLLJO", "WLDWD", "WSB032" ], "names": { "02_PU": "02_PU", "02_SU": "02_SU", "03_PU1": "03_PU1", "03_PU2": "03_PU2", "03_SU": "03_SU", "11_NU1": "11_NU1", "12_NU1": "12_NU1", "13_NU1": "13_NU1", "16_PU": "16_PU", "20_NU1": "20_NU1", "21_PU": "21_PU", "24_NU1": "24_NU1", "24_NU2": "24_NU2", "24_NU3": "24_NU3", "25_PU": "25_PU", "26N_NU1": "26N_NU1", "26N_NU2": "26N_NU2", "26N_NU3": "26N_NU3", "26N_PU1": "26N_PU1", "26N_PU2": "26N_PU2", "26N_PU3": "26N_PU3", "26S_NU1": "26S_NU1", "26S_PU1": "26S_PU1", "26S_PU2": "26S_PU2", "26S_PU4": "26S_PU4", "26S_PU5": "26S_PU5", "26S_PU6": "26S_PU6", "50_PU": "50_PU", "60N_NU2": "60N_NU2", "60S_NU1": "60S_NU1", "61_NU2": "61_NU2", "90_PU": "90_PU", "ACFC": "ACFC", "AMADR": "AMADR", "AMCYN": "AMCYN", "ANTOC": "ANTOC", "BNCIA": "BNCIA", "CCWD": "CCWD", "CSB038": "CSB038", "CSB103": "CSB103", "CSPSO": "CSPSO", "EBMUD": "EBMUD", "ELDID_NU1": "ELDID_NU1", "ELDID_NU2": "ELDID_NU2", "ELDID_NU3": "ELDID_NU3", "ESB324": "ESB324", "ESB347": "ESB347", "ESB355": "ESB355", "ESB414": "ESB414", "ESB420": "ESB420", "FRFLD": "FRFLD", "GDPUD_NU": "GDPUD_NU", "GRSVL": "GRSVL", "JLIND": "JLIND", "MHILL_NU": "MHILL_NU", "MWD": "MWD", "NAPA": "NAPA", "NAPA2": "NAPA2", "PCWA3": "PCWA3", "PLMAS": "PLMAS", "SBA029": "SBA029", "SBA036": "SBA036", "SBCWD": "SBCWD", "SCVWD": "SCVWD", "SUISN": "SUISN", "SVWRD": "SVWRD", "TLMNE": "TLMNE", "TVAFB": "TVAFB", "UNION": "UNION", "UPANG": "UPANG", "VLLJO": "VLLJO", "WLDWD": "WLDWD", "WSB032": "WSB032" }, "types": ["demand_unit"], "distinct_within_area": true }, "baseline": 1.7641780821917807, "by_hydroclimate": { "BL": { "public_label": "Historical hydroclimate", "column_label": "Historical", "anchor": "historical-hydroclimate", "api_hydroclimate_id": 2, "run_ids": { "strategy": "s0065", "current_operations": "s0020" }, "current_operations": 1.7641780821917807, "scenario": 1.9463835616438359, "hydroclimate_effect": 0.0, "management_effect": 0.18220547945205512, "total_effect": 0.18220547945205512, "larger_term": "strategy", "terms_oppose": false }, "HC4": { "public_label": "Moderate climate stress", "column_label": "Moderate", "anchor": "moderate-climate-stress", "api_hydroclimate_id": 7, "run_ids": { "strategy": "s0157", "current_operations": "s0134" }, "current_operations": 1.947109589041096, "scenario": 2.348287671232877, "hydroclimate_effect": 0.18293150684931536, "management_effect": 0.40117808219178075, "total_effect": 0.5841095890410961, "larger_term": "strategy", "terms_oppose": false }, "HC1": { "public_label": "Moderate-high climate stress", "column_label": "Moderate-high", "anchor": "moderate-high-climate-stress", "api_hydroclimate_id": 3, "run_ids": { "strategy": "s0085", "current_operations": "s0047" }, "current_operations": 1.976095890410959, "scenario": 2.2987123287671234, "hydroclimate_effect": 0.21191780821917816, "management_effect": 0.3226164383561645, "total_effect": 0.5345342465753427, "larger_term": "strategy", "terms_oppose": false }, "HC2": { "public_label": "High climate stress", "column_label": "High", "anchor": "high-climate-stress", "api_hydroclimate_id": 4, "run_ids": { "strategy": "s0105", "current_operations": "s0056" }, "current_operations": 2.2486986301369862, "scenario": 2.4864383561643835, "hydroclimate_effect": 0.4845205479452055, "management_effect": 0.23773972602739724, "total_effect": 0.7222602739726027, "larger_term": "hydroclimate", "terms_oppose": false }, "HC3": { "public_label": "Extreme climate stress", "column_label": "Extreme", "anchor": "extreme-climate-stress", "api_hydroclimate_id": 5, "run_ids": { "strategy": "s0131", "current_operations": "s0108" }, "current_operations": 2.501835616438356, "scenario": 2.7002465753424656, "hydroclimate_effect": 0.7376575342465754, "management_effect": 0.19841095890410942, "total_effect": 0.9360684931506849, "larger_term": "hydroclimate", "terms_oppose": false } }, "robustness": { "current_operations_spread": 0.7376575342465754, "strategy_spread": 0.7538630136986297, "spread_change": 0.016205479452054306, "strategy_range": [1.9463835616438359, 2.7002465753424656], "current_operations_worst_value": 2.501835616438356, "current_operations_worst_hydroclimates": ["HC3"], "strategy_worst_value": 2.7002465753424656, "strategy_worst_hydroclimates": ["HC3"], "strategy_bands_spanned": 2, "management_effect_min_exact": 0.18220547945205512, "management_effect_max_exact": 0.40117808219178075, "management_effect_sign": "one direction" }, "reach": { "n_locations": 73, "changed_by_hydroclimate": { "BL": 21, "HC4": 34, "HC1": 28, "HC2": 37, "HC3": 31 }, "toward_level4_by_hydroclimate": { "BL": 15, "HC4": 28, "HC1": 27, "HC2": 27, "HC3": 24 }, "toward_level1_by_hydroclimate": { "BL": 6, "HC4": 6, "HC1": 1, "HC2": 10, "HC3": 7 }, "no_difference_by_hydroclimate": { "BL": 52, "HC4": 39, "HC1": 45, "HC2": 36, "HC3": 42 }, "median_difference_by_hydroclimate": { "BL": 0.42900000000000005, "HC4": 0.9985000000000002, "HC1": 0.6349999999999999, "HC2": 0.42900000000000005, "HC3": 0.29400000000000004 }, "median_difference": 0.504, "min": 21, "max": 37 }, "skipped": false, "skip_reason": null, "skip_runs_missing": null }, { "code": "AG_REV", "public_name": "Agricultural revenue", "level_type": "multi_value", "locations": { "n": 132, "ids": [ "02_NA", "02_PA", "02_SA", "03_NA", "03_PA", "03_SA", "04_NA", "04_PA1", "04_PA2", "05_NA", "06_NA", "06_PA", "07N_NA", "07N_PA", "07S_NA", "07S_PA", "08N_NA", "08N_PA", "08N_SA1", "08N_SA2", "08S_NA1", "08S_NA2", "08S_PA", "08S_SA1", "08S_SA2", "08S_SA3", "09_NA", "09_SA1", "09_SA2", "10_NA", "11_NA", "11_SA1", "11_SA2", "11_SA3", "11_SA4", "12_NA", "12_SA", "13_NA", "14_NA", "15N_NA1", "15N_NA2", "15N_SA", "15S_NA1", "15S_NA2", "15S_SA", "16_NA1", "16_NA2", "16_PA", "16_SA", "17N_NA", "17S_NA", "17S_SA", "18_NA", "18_SA", "19_SA", "20_NA1", "20_NA2", "20_PA", "21_NA", "21_PA", "21_SA", "22_NA", "22_SA1", "22_SA2", "23_NA", "24_NA1", "24_NA2", "24_NA3", "25_NA", "25_PA1", "25_PA2", "26N_NA", "26S_NA", "50_PA1", "50_PA2", "60N_NA1", "60N_NA2", "60N_NA3", "60N_NA4", "60N_NA5", "60S_NA1", "60S_NA2", "60S_PA1", "60S_PA2", "61_NA1", 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"current_operations": 2.86, "scenario": 2.772, "hydroclimate_effect": 0.0, "management_effect": -0.08800000000000008, "total_effect": -0.08800000000000008, "larger_term": "strategy", "terms_oppose": false }, "HC4": { "public_label": "Moderate climate stress", "column_label": "Moderate", "anchor": "moderate-climate-stress", "api_hydroclimate_id": 7, "run_ids": { "strategy": "s0157", "current_operations": "s0134" }, "current_operations": 3.19, "scenario": 3.2, "hydroclimate_effect": 0.33000000000000007, "management_effect": 0.010000000000000231, "total_effect": 0.3400000000000003, "larger_term": "hydroclimate", "terms_oppose": false }, "HC1": { "public_label": "Moderate-high climate stress", "column_label": "Moderate-high", "anchor": "moderate-high-climate-stress", "api_hydroclimate_id": 3, "run_ids": { "strategy": "s0085", "current_operations": "s0047" }, "current_operations": 3.178, "scenario": 3.136, "hydroclimate_effect": 0.31800000000000006, "management_effect": -0.041999999999999815, "total_effect": 0.27600000000000025, "larger_term": "hydroclimate", "terms_oppose": false }, "HC2": { "public_label": "High climate stress", "column_label": "High", "anchor": "high-climate-stress", "api_hydroclimate_id": 4, "run_ids": { "strategy": "s0105", "current_operations": "s0056" }, "current_operations": 3.58, "scenario": 3.504, "hydroclimate_effect": 0.7200000000000002, "management_effect": -0.07600000000000007, "total_effect": 0.6440000000000001, "larger_term": "hydroclimate", "terms_oppose": false }, "HC3": { "public_label": "Extreme climate stress", "column_label": "Extreme", "anchor": "extreme-climate-stress", "api_hydroclimate_id": 5, "run_ids": { "strategy": "s0131", "current_operations": "s0108" }, "current_operations": 4.229, "scenario": 4.05, "hydroclimate_effect": 1.3690000000000002, "management_effect": -0.17900000000000027, "total_effect": 1.19, "larger_term": "hydroclimate", "terms_oppose": true } }, "robustness": { "current_operations_spread": 1.3690000000000002, "strategy_spread": 1.278, "spread_change": -0.09100000000000019, "strategy_range": [2.772, 4.05], "current_operations_worst_value": 4.229, "current_operations_worst_hydroclimates": ["HC3"], "strategy_worst_value": 4.05, "strategy_worst_hydroclimates": ["HC3"], "strategy_bands_spanned": 3, "management_effect_min_exact": -0.17900000000000027, "management_effect_max_exact": 0.010000000000000231, "management_effect_sign": "one direction" }, "reach": { "n_locations": 2, "changed_by_hydroclimate": { "BL": 0, "HC4": 0, "HC1": 0, "HC2": 0, "HC3": 2 }, "toward_level4_by_hydroclimate": { "BL": 0, "HC4": 0, "HC1": 0, "HC2": 0, "HC3": 0 }, "toward_level1_by_hydroclimate": { "BL": 0, "HC4": 0, "HC1": 0, "HC2": 0, "HC3": 2 }, "no_difference_by_hydroclimate": { "BL": 2, "HC4": 2, "HC1": 2, "HC2": 2, "HC3": 0 }, "median_difference_by_hydroclimate": { "BL": null, "HC4": null, "HC1": null, "HC2": null, "HC3": 0.17900000000000027 }, "median_difference": 0.17900000000000027, "min": 0, "max": 2 }, "skipped": false, "skip_reason": null, "skip_runs_missing": null }, { "code": "RES_STOR", "public_name": "Reservoir storage", "level_type": "multi_value", "locations": { "n": 8, "ids": [ "FOLSM", "MELON", "MLRTN", "OROVL", "SHSTA", "SLUIS_CVP", "SLUIS_SWP", "TRNTY" ], "names": { "FOLSM": "Folsom", "MELON": "New Melones", "MLRTN": "Millerton", "OROVL": "Oroville", "SHSTA": "Shasta", "SLUIS_CVP": "San Luis CVP", "SLUIS_SWP": "San Luis SWP", "TRNTY": "Trinity" }, "types": ["reservoir"], "distinct_within_area": true }, "baseline": 2.451, "by_hydroclimate": { "BL": { "public_label": "Historical hydroclimate", "column_label": "Historical", "anchor": "historical-hydroclimate", "api_hydroclimate_id": 2, "run_ids": { "strategy": "s0065", "current_operations": "s0020" }, "current_operations": 2.451, "scenario": 2.17625, "hydroclimate_effect": 0.0, "management_effect": -0.27475000000000005, "total_effect": -0.27475000000000005, "larger_term": "strategy", "terms_oppose": false }, "HC4": { "public_label": "Moderate climate stress", "column_label": "Moderate", "anchor": "moderate-climate-stress", "api_hydroclimate_id": 7, "run_ids": { "strategy": "s0157", "current_operations": "s0134" }, "current_operations": 2.403, "scenario": 2.214125, "hydroclimate_effect": -0.04800000000000004, "management_effect": -0.1888749999999999, "total_effect": -0.23687499999999995, "larger_term": "strategy", "terms_oppose": false }, "HC1": { "public_label": "Moderate-high climate stress", "column_label": "Moderate-high", "anchor": "moderate-high-climate-stress", "api_hydroclimate_id": 3, "run_ids": { "strategy": "s0085", "current_operations": "s0047" }, "current_operations": 2.322, "scenario": 2.218375, "hydroclimate_effect": -0.129, "management_effect": -0.10362500000000008, "total_effect": -0.23262500000000008, "larger_term": "hydroclimate", "terms_oppose": false }, "HC2": { "public_label": "High climate stress", "column_label": "High", "anchor": "high-climate-stress", "api_hydroclimate_id": 4, "run_ids": { "strategy": "s0105", "current_operations": "s0056" }, "current_operations": 2.632, "scenario": 2.452125, "hydroclimate_effect": 0.18100000000000005, "management_effect": -0.179875, "total_effect": 0.0011250000000000426, "larger_term": "hydroclimate", "terms_oppose": true }, "HC3": { "public_label": "Extreme climate stress", "column_label": "Extreme", "anchor": "extreme-climate-stress", "api_hydroclimate_id": 5, "run_ids": { "strategy": "s0131", "current_operations": "s0108" }, "current_operations": 3.5105, "scenario": 3.37825, "hydroclimate_effect": 1.0594999999999999, "management_effect": -0.13224999999999998, "total_effect": 0.9272499999999999, "larger_term": "hydroclimate", "terms_oppose": true } }, "robustness": { "current_operations_spread": 1.1885, "strategy_spread": 1.202, "spread_change": 0.013500000000000068, "strategy_range": [2.17625, 3.37825], "current_operations_worst_value": 3.5105, "current_operations_worst_hydroclimates": ["HC3"], "strategy_worst_value": 3.37825, "strategy_worst_hydroclimates": ["HC3"], "strategy_bands_spanned": 2, "management_effect_min_exact": -0.27475000000000005, "management_effect_max_exact": -0.10362500000000008, "management_effect_sign": "one direction" }, "reach": { "n_locations": 8, "changed_by_hydroclimate": { "BL": 3, "HC4": 2, "HC1": 4, "HC2": 3, "HC3": 7 }, "toward_level4_by_hydroclimate": { "BL": 1, "HC4": 1, "HC1": 2, "HC2": 1, "HC3": 4 }, "toward_level1_by_hydroclimate": { "BL": 2, "HC4": 1, "HC1": 2, "HC2": 2, "HC3": 3 }, "no_difference_by_hydroclimate": { "BL": 5, "HC4": 6, "HC1": 4, "HC2": 5, "HC3": 1 }, "median_difference_by_hydroclimate": { "BL": 0.27300000000000013, "HC4": 1.2365, "HC1": 0.4169999999999998, "HC2": 0.5739999999999998, "HC3": 0.3639999999999999 }, "median_difference": 0.41999999999999993, "min": 2, "max": 7 }, "skipped": false, "skip_reason": null, "skip_runs_missing": null }, { "code": "GW_STOR", "public_name": "Groundwater storage", "level_type": "multi_value", "locations": { "n": 42, "ids": [ "02", "03", "04", "05", "06", "07N", "07S", "08N", "08S", "09", "10", "11", "12", "13", "14", "15N", "15S", "16", "17N", "17S", "18", "19", "20", "21", "22", "23", "24", "25", "26N", "26S", "50", "60N", "60S", "61", "62", "63", "64", "71", "72", "73", "90", "DETAW" ], "names": { "02": "WBA 02", "03": "WBA 03", "04": "WBA 04", "05": "WBA 05", "06": "WBA 06", "07N": "WBA 07N", "07S": "WBA 07S", "08N": "WBA 08N", "08S": "WBA 08S", "09": "WBA 09", "10": "WBA 10", "11": "WBA 11", "12": "WBA 12", "13": "WBA 13", "14": "WBA 14", "15N": "WBA 15N", "15S": "WBA 15S", "16": "WBA 16", "17N": "WBA 17N", "17S": "WBA 17S", "18": "WBA 18", "19": "WBA 19", "20": "WBA 20", "21": "WBA 21", "22": "WBA 22", "23": "WBA 23", "24": "WBA 24", "25": "WBA 25", "26N": "WBA 26N", "26S": "WBA 26S", "50": "WBA 50", "60N": "WBA 60N", "60S": "WBA 60S", "61": "WBA 61", "62": "WBA 62", "63": "WBA 63", "64": "WBA 64", "71": "WBA 71", "72": "WBA 72", "73": "WBA 73", "90": "WBA 90", "DETAW": "Delta-Eastside Water" }, "types": ["wba"], "distinct_within_area": true }, "baseline": 2.7845238095238094, "by_hydroclimate": { "BL": { "public_label": "Historical hydroclimate", "column_label": "Historical", "anchor": "historical-hydroclimate", "api_hydroclimate_id": 2, "run_ids": { "strategy": "s0065", "current_operations": "s0020" }, "current_operations": 2.7845238095238094, "scenario": 2.6772142857142858, "hydroclimate_effect": 0.0, "management_effect": -0.10730952380952363, "total_effect": -0.10730952380952363, "larger_term": "strategy", "terms_oppose": false }, "HC4": { "public_label": "Moderate climate stress", "column_label": "Moderate", "anchor": "moderate-climate-stress", "api_hydroclimate_id": 7, "run_ids": { "strategy": "s0157", "current_operations": "s0134" }, "current_operations": 2.6402380952380953, "scenario": 2.6252619047619046, "hydroclimate_effect": -0.14428571428571413, "management_effect": -0.014976190476190698, "total_effect": -0.15926190476190483, "larger_term": "hydroclimate", "terms_oppose": false }, "HC1": { "public_label": "Moderate-high climate stress", "column_label": "Moderate-high", "anchor": "moderate-high-climate-stress", "api_hydroclimate_id": 3, "run_ids": { "strategy": "s0085", "current_operations": "s0047" }, "current_operations": 2.8315238095238096, "scenario": 2.8243571428571426, "hydroclimate_effect": 0.04700000000000015, "management_effect": -0.007166666666666988, "total_effect": 0.039833333333333165, "larger_term": "hydroclimate", "terms_oppose": false }, "HC2": { "public_label": "High climate stress", "column_label": "High", "anchor": "high-climate-stress", "api_hydroclimate_id": 4, "run_ids": { "strategy": "s0105", "current_operations": "s0056" }, "current_operations": 3.0095, "scenario": 3.056904761904762, "hydroclimate_effect": 0.22497619047619066, "management_effect": 0.04740476190476173, "total_effect": 0.2723809523809524, "larger_term": "hydroclimate", "terms_oppose": false }, "HC3": { "public_label": "Extreme climate stress", "column_label": "Extreme", "anchor": "extreme-climate-stress", "api_hydroclimate_id": 5, "run_ids": { "strategy": "s0131", "current_operations": "s0108" }, "current_operations": 3.275952380952381, "scenario": 3.3055, "hydroclimate_effect": 0.49142857142857155, "management_effect": 0.029547619047618934, "total_effect": 0.5209761904761905, "larger_term": "hydroclimate", "terms_oppose": false } }, "robustness": { "current_operations_spread": 0.6357142857142857, "strategy_spread": 0.6802380952380953, "spread_change": 0.04452380952380963, "strategy_range": [2.6252619047619046, 3.3055], "current_operations_worst_value": 3.275952380952381, "current_operations_worst_hydroclimates": ["HC3"], "strategy_worst_value": 3.3055, "strategy_worst_hydroclimates": ["HC3"], "strategy_bands_spanned": 2, "management_effect_min_exact": -0.10730952380952363, "management_effect_max_exact": 0.04740476190476173, "management_effect_sign": "one direction" }, "reach": { "n_locations": 42, "changed_by_hydroclimate": { "BL": 18, "HC4": 12, "HC1": 10, "HC2": 11, "HC3": 23 }, "toward_level4_by_hydroclimate": { "BL": 3, "HC4": 8, "HC1": 6, "HC2": 8, "HC3": 14 }, "toward_level1_by_hydroclimate": { "BL": 15, "HC4": 4, "HC1": 4, "HC2": 3, "HC3": 9 }, "no_difference_by_hydroclimate": { "BL": 24, "HC4": 30, "HC1": 32, "HC2": 31, "HC3": 19 }, "median_difference_by_hydroclimate": { "BL": 0.2430000000000001, "HC4": 0.17999999999999994, "HC1": 0.22799999999999976, "HC2": 0.2519999999999998, "HC3": 0.26400000000000023 }, "median_difference": 0.24, "min": 10, "max": 23 }, "skipped": false, "skip_reason": null, "skip_runs_missing": null } ], "n_locations": 277, "reach_totals_by_hydroclimate": { "BL": 110, "HC4": 94, "HC1": 82, "HC2": 92, "HC3": 105 }, "derived_measures": { "reach": "locations where |management effect| >= 0.1, per hydroclimate, counted over the locations both runs of the comparison serve. 0.1 is the one threshold: the same figure governs every claim in the prose, every mark in the figure and this count. A sector value is the unweighted mean over its locations, so reach explains why a real location-level difference can read as a small sector-level one", "reach_direction_split": "the same locations split by direction of the management effect: toward_level4_by_hydroclimate counts strategy - current operations >= 0.1, toward_level1_by_hydroclimate counts current operations - strategy >= 0.1, and the two sum to reach. no_difference_by_hydroclimate (added 2026-09-16, no schema change) counts the locations differing by less than 0.1, so the three sum to n_locations; the page prints the three as one stack. Direction on the level axis only; the outcome-level framework supplies the band names and COEQWAL does not rank them", "reach_magnitude": "the median of |management effect| over the locations reach counts, per hydroclimate and over the five together. Null where the count is zero. It answers the question a count cannot: a sector effect printing 0.0 beside a count of 73 is a cell where the locations differ by a median of 0.3 on the level scale in opposing directions, and the count alone does not say so", "spread": "max - min of a row's five values (robustness.strategy_spread / current_operations_spread / spread_change); retained in the data file only, no longer stated in the prose (amendment 2026-07-25), always alongside the range it varies within", "worst_sampled_case": "the highest of a row's five values, tie-aware; the five hydroclimates were chosen to span a range of climate stress levels, so no mean over them is reported" }, "omissions": [ { "axis": "area", "code": "WRC_SALMON_AB", "public_name": "Winter-run salmon", "reason": "not served by these model runs", "runs_missing_key_outcome": { "strategy": ["s0065", "s0157", "s0085", "s0105", "s0131"], "current_operations": [] } } ], "data_sources": [ { "path": "snapshots/2026-08-29/scenarios.json", "fetched_at": "2026-08-29", "payload_sha256": "3a25e4a95cb652f0f33827ce820dcc5a72b27e366138520d27e92fd1c85bddc9", "role": "scenario metadata: names, descriptions, sibling groups, hydroclimate ids" }, { "path": "snapshots/2026-08-29/locations/s0020.json", "fetched_at": "2026-08-29", "payload_sha256": "72f736f771b3d6818519a61d1b7d3a7ab8fc1075ee3dbcdae73295dd4ba1d5b1", "role": "per-location tier (integer label and continuous value) for run s0020 — the values this brief means" }, { "path": "snapshots/2026-08-29/locations/s0047.json", "fetched_at": "2026-08-29", "payload_sha256": "2c8c31f41fcb6ce2307edcf1673803a240984bb5e591d6ea89cad1935ae8af5d", "role": "per-location tier (integer label and continuous value) for run s0047 — the values this brief means" }, { "path": "snapshots/2026-08-29/locations/s0056.json", "fetched_at": "2026-08-29", "payload_sha256": "b21e02101428e2a7460935fb087fc40040e24ff1f7f6043b2fc2702bb93d5702", "role": "per-location tier (integer label and continuous value) for run s0056 — the values this brief means" }, { "path": "snapshots/2026-08-29/locations/s0065.json", "fetched_at": "2026-08-29", "payload_sha256": "ad7adb7c48e0c329092fd400c3460e11ddd49c7272253f9a937444cd26e041b0", "role": "per-location tier (integer label and continuous value) for run s0065 — the values this brief means" }, { "path": "snapshots/2026-08-29/locations/s0085.json", "fetched_at": "2026-08-29", "payload_sha256": "235412d20769ae1a5766351b95a0455c9cb2653c0a1cbb696cf1ff8dfd8f65de", "role": "per-location tier (integer label and continuous value) for run s0085 — the values this brief means" }, { "path": "snapshots/2026-08-29/locations/s0105.json", "fetched_at": "2026-08-29", "payload_sha256": "5b684e61bcd7c0ae07458305a32afe944d0c572c4b1b713a7d3d38993a0a65d3", "role": "per-location tier (integer label and continuous value) for run s0105 — the values this brief means" }, { "path": "snapshots/2026-08-29/locations/s0108.json", "fetched_at": "2026-08-29", "payload_sha256": "000675db0e246866f5c7d8cccffcd349c8c6e575bbb784c42d1afa78f1610abb", "role": "per-location tier (integer label and continuous value) for run s0108 — the values this brief means" }, { "path": "snapshots/2026-08-29/locations/s0131.json", "fetched_at": "2026-08-29", "payload_sha256": "85e47e394af433ce6c99d178ab4a2271c90730a6638241ba888c5a50148949f2", "role": "per-location tier (integer label and continuous value) for run s0131 — the values this brief means" }, { "path": "snapshots/2026-08-29/locations/s0134.json", "fetched_at": "2026-08-29", "payload_sha256": "b53ae4ee450d230c99a645274e57f8b35ce11020a29a4c673e308f08ada2ef9a", "role": "per-location tier (integer label and continuous value) for run s0134 — the values this brief means" }, { "path": "snapshots/2026-08-29/locations/s0157.json", "fetched_at": "2026-08-29", "payload_sha256": "503f459bbf68a00c5440188e7242d0a3431219def9142feaf3b22eace3deda02", "role": "per-location tier (integer label and continuous value) for run s0157 — the values this brief means" } ], "values": [ { "id": "areas_in_water_system", "where": "what-this-is", "printed": "nine", "value": 9, "unit": "count", "derivation": "the sectors of the water system the outcome-level framework defines", "sources": ["briefbuilder/config.py"] }, { "id": "rows_reported", "where": "what-this-is", "printed": "eight", "value": 8, "unit": "count", "derivation": "the key outcomes of the water system these runs report under every hydroclimate", "sources": ["#/rows"] }, { "id": "strategy_library_count", "where": "what-this-is", "printed": "28", "value": 28, "unit": "count", "derivation": "management strategies in the COEQWAL scenario library a reader meets: the row count of the naming table that is the library's spine, less the rows withdrawn from launch", "sources": ["_meta/COEQWAL_Strategy_Naming_Proposal.html"] }, { "id": "config_fields_total", "where": "what-this-is", "printed": "eight", "value": 8, "unit": "count", "derivation": "the operational settings the scenario library records for every strategy, from the configuration table the strategy briefs print", "sources": [ "coeqwal_cs3_scenario_descriptions1.docx", "_meta/COEQWAL_Strategy_Naming_Proposal.html" ] }, { "id": "config_fields_differing", "where": "what-this-is", "printed": "four", "value": 4, "unit": "count", "derivation": "the operational settings whose recorded value differs from current operations", "sources": [ "coeqwal_cs3_scenario_descriptions1.docx", "_meta/COEQWAL_Strategy_Naming_Proposal.html" ] }, { "id": "figure_today_min", "where": "how-to-read-figure", "printed": "1.7", "value": 1.7641780821917807, "unit": "tier units", "derivation": "the lowest of the reported key outcomes' baseline values", "sources": ["#/rows/*/baseline"] }, { "id": "figure_today_max", "where": "how-to-read-figure", "printed": "3.7", "value": 3.7335294117647058, "unit": "tier units", "derivation": "the highest of the reported key outcomes' baseline values", "sources": ["#/rows/*/baseline"] }, { "id": "figure_locations_min", "where": "how-to-read-figure", "printed": "one", "value": 1, "unit": "count", "derivation": "the fewest locations behind any reported key outcome", "sources": ["#/rows/*/locations/n"] }, { "id": "figure_locations_max", "where": "how-to-read-figure", "printed": "132", "value": 132, "unit": "count", "derivation": "the most locations behind any reported key outcome", "sources": ["#/rows/*/locations/n"] }, { "id": "axis_min", "where": "how-to-read-figure", "printed": "1", "value": 1.0, "unit": "tier units", "derivation": "the low end of the continuous level axis", "sources": ["briefbuilder/tierscale.py"] }, { "id": "axis_max", "where": "how-to-read-figure", "printed": "4.99", "value": 4.99, "unit": "tier units", "derivation": "the high end of the continuous level axis: the data occupies [1, 5) and the axis stops below 5, so 5.0 is unreachable", "sources": ["briefbuilder/tierscale.py"] }, { "id": "movement_threshold_reading", "where": "how-to-read-figure", 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"mark": "level", "panel": 1 }, { "area": "GW_STOR", "public_name": "Groundwater storage", "hydroclimate": "HC2", "baseline": 2.7845238095238094, "current_operations": 3.0095, "scenario": 3.056904761904762, "hydroclimate_effect": 0.22497619047619066, "management_effect": 0.04740476190476173, "y_baseline": 170.8582169709989, "y_current_operations": 188.11203007518796, "y_scenario": 191.74758324382384, "hydroclimate_flat": false, "management_flat": true, "mark": "level", "panel": 1 }, { "area": "GW_STOR", "public_name": "Groundwater storage", "hydroclimate": "HC3", "baseline": 2.7845238095238094, "current_operations": 3.275952380952381, "scenario": 3.3055, "hydroclimate_effect": 0.49142857142857155, "management_effect": 0.029547619047618934, "y_baseline": 170.8582169709989, "y_current_operations": 208.54672395273897, "y_scenario": 210.81278195488719, "hydroclimate_flat": false, "management_flat": true, "mark": "level", "panel": 1 } ], "attributes": { "namespacing": "every attribute name below belongs to exactly one mark type. The sets are disjoint, so counting an attribute finds the marks of one type and no others.", "arrow_attributes": [ "data-flat", "data-area", "data-hc", "data-role", "data-delta", "data-from", "data-to", "data-y0", "data-y1" ], "point_family": "data-scen-*", "point_key": "data-scen-area", "point_key_rule": "the key inside the data-scen-* family follows row_axis: data-scen-area where the rows are sectors, data-scen-strategy where they are strategies", "marks": { "arrow": { "count": 80, "attributes": [ "data-flat", "data-area", "data-hc", "data-role", "data-delta", "data-from", "data-to", "data-y0", "data-y1" ] }, "baseline_level": { "count": 8, "attributes": [ "data-today-area", "data-today-pos", "data-today-val" ] }, "junction": { "count": 11, "attributes": ["data-junction-area", "data-junction-hc"] }, "level_band": { "count": 4, "attributes": ["data-band"] }, "omitted_row": { "count": 1, "attributes": ["data-skip-area"] }, "scenario_point": { "count": 40, "attributes": [ "data-scen-area", "data-scen-hc", "data-scen-pos", "data-scen-val", "data-single" ] } }, "panels": { "n": 1, "viewbox": [932.0, 516.0], "bounds": [[0, 9]], "row_order": "the sector order the set uses", "split": "not split: one panel holds every column", "identity_rule": "a mark's identity is its row, hydroclimate and role. No attribute names a panel, and no mark is drawn in more than one, so the per-panel counts below partition the figure's totals rather than repeating them.", "marks_per_panel": [ { "arrow": 80, "baseline_level": 8, "junction": 11, "level_band": 4, "omitted_row": 1, "scenario_point": 40 } ], "marks_total": { "arrow": 80, "baseline_level": 8, "junction": 11, "level_band": 4, "omitted_row": 1, "scenario_point": 40 } } } } ], "verification": { "status": "pass", "verified_at": "2026-09-25T20:58:31Z", "n_recomputed": 208, "n_available": 208, "checks": [ { "name": "sidecar_values", "statement": "every stored value, band and printed digit in the grid recomputed from the per-location data in the snapshot and held against the file", "result": "pass" }, { "name": "decomposition_identity", "statement": "hydroclimate_effect + management_effect = total_effect in every cell, read under the names the file itself carries", "result": "pass" }, { "name": "larger_term", "statement": "the recorded larger of the two effects agrees with the recomputed pair", "result": "pass" }, { "name": "reach_counts", "statement": "every per-hydroclimate reach count and location count recomputed from the locations", "result": "pass" }, { "name": "figure_geometry", "statement": "every arrow endpoint on the page drawn where the published axis contract puts a value of that size", "result": "pass" }, { "name": "recomputed_at_all", "statement": "at least one number in this file was compared with the locations; a count of what could be checked is not evidence that anything was", "result": "pass" } ], "summary": "every recorded value, band, printed digit, effect, reach count and arrow position follows from the per-location data", "findings": [], "verifier": "briefbuilder.verifier, which recomputes from the per-location data and restates the figure geometry rather than importing it, and is therefore independent of whatever produced these files" } }