COEQWAL Strategy Brief · Background Download PDF
Management Strategy · The Delta as a living place

Relax Delta salinity standards A management strategy in the COEQWAL scenario library

This strategy removes the requirement for fall (August-October) X2 salinity conditions as originally set by the 2008–2009 Biological Opinions. Other Delta flow and salinity requirements remain in place and may control system behavior.

This brief describes a scenario that relaxes part of the set of rules that regulate Delta salinity via the deactivation of fall X2 standards, one of 28 management strategies in the COEQWAL scenario library. Each strategy is simulated once under each of five hydroclimates; the references note at the end of this brief lists the model runs.

§2 What this strategy changes

In recent years, many parties have called for the removal or loosening of the requirement that certain X2 conditions (the location of the 2-ppt isohaline) be met in August through October (“fall X2”), as originally set by the 2008–2009 Biological Opinions. Arguments for their removal include that these fall X2 actions have not had the intended benefit for Delta ecology and fish. The most recent revised USBR proposed operation released in December 2025 (“Action 5”), updating the version released in December 2024, also removes the fall X2 requirement.

This scenario deactivates the rules that set flows required to meet the fall X2 salinity conditions. Other Delta flow and salinity requirements are still in place and may control system behavior regardless of whether the fall X2 requirement is in effect.

§3 The configuration in detail

The table compares the eight operational fields that define this strategy against current operations — the strategy that represents existing operational rules, recent (2020) land use, and TUCPs. Rows that match current operations are shown in light gray; rows that differ are highlighted.

Aspect Current operations This strategy
TUCP actions Active Active
SGMA actions None None
Land use 2020 LandIQ 2020 LandIQ
Delta regulations Standard Standard
BiOps 2019 / 2020 ITP Modified versions of 2019 / 2020 ITP
Infrastructure Standard Standard
Flows Standard Fall X2 salinity (and flow) requirements removed
Allocation / priorities Standard Standard

§4 Lineage and source

This strategy was developed by the COEQWAL team using the Current Operations scenario as the base from which changes were made. The key change in this scenario is the deactivation of the flow requirements tied to the fall X2 salinity standards. It is otherwise unchanged from the COEQWAL Current Operations scenario (i.e. it uses the 2020 land use and DWR’s historically adjusted hydrology). The CalSim model files for this strategy are referenced by the run IDs in the references note at the end of this brief.

§6 What this doesn't say

This brief describes a scenario representation in CalSim, not a real-world policy proposal or implementation plan. The strategy as modeled may not capture all details necessary to support direct translation to actual operations. The brief does not predict, evaluate, or recommend any outcome — it describes what the scenario changes about CalSim's representation of the system. For what the model produces under this strategy, see the result briefs referenced in §7.

§7 See results for this strategy

To see modeled outcomes under this strategy across all nine key outcomes at the reference hydroclimate, see the The Delta as a living place theme brief.

To see outcomes at a specific location of interest, see the relevant LOI briefs — particularly those for Delta locations.

Compare this strategy in the data explorer

References — model runs

Each strategy is simulated once under each of five hydroclimates. The table lists the model run behind this strategy and the current-operations run it is compared against, for each hydroclimate, so any reader can trace this page to specific CalSim runs.

Hydroclimate This strategy Current operations
Historical hydroclimate (adjusted) s0045 s0020
Moderate climate stress (EC-Earth3-Veg) s0155 s0134
Moderate-high climate stress (cc50) s0083 s0047
High climate stress (cc95) s0103 s0056
Extreme climate stress (TaiESM1) s0129 s0108